Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20355590d55fd1a162ea2c52854761efab2972d9b332dc3023a5231a528ed044
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $361,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 67,507$48,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,534.76 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 39c | 41,039$16,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,089.38 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 51c | 28,057$14,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,395.1 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 26,522$15,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,851.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 18,297$8,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,912.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 12,242$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.65 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 42c | 11,800$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc087…dbbabacked Yes | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 48c | 11,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.94 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.97 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.95 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 53c | 7,760$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,112.91 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.93 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 6,728$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.87 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…1ddebacked Yes | 52c | 5,622$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 34c | 4,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 42c | 4,438$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.3 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 48c | 4,039$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.44 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 52c | 3,598$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.19 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked No | 47c | 3,537$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.62 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked No | 60c | 3,082$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.67 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 62c | 2,756$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.13 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed No | 48c | 2,695$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.62 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed No | 60c | 2,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.92 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,257$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.8 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 47c | 2,220$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.6 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Yes | 52c | 1,919$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.81 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,676$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.48 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…ff63backed Yes | 52c | 1,635$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 48c | 1,472$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.42 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…0b9bbacked No | 63c | 1,459$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 1,337$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 53c | 1,302$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…51bbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,244$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed No | 49c | 1,177$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.13 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed No | 62c | 1,071$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.32 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 52c | 999.91$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.96 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…46ddbacked Yes | 47c | 999.7$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.86 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 68c | 990.63$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…ce17backed Yes | 52c | 973.85$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.4 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 28c | 960.97$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.41 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…45c1backed Yes | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…e9d1backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Yes | 38c | 858.72$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.19 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 811.21$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.89 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 12c | 808.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 63c | 801.7$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…5699backed Yes | 53c | 649.43$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 52c | 646.15$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 52c | 601.13$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.59 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 50c | 596.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 51c | 576.5$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.02 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 48c | 570.83$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.83 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 519.95$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.27 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 52c | 500.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 50c | 499.96$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.98 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 482.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.42 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 47c | 475.93$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 48c | 463.48$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.01 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Yes | 43c | 461$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 35c | 450.76$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Yes | 51c | 428.74$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.42 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Yes | 47c | 423.04$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.83 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…be76backed Yes | 52c | 421.15$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 48c | 420$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…e9ecbacked Yes | 52c | 420$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 47c | 415.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.98 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…66b2backed Yes | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 3c | 394.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 52c | 382.46$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked No | 67c | 369.21$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Yes | 49c | 355.1$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…d306backed Yes | 52c | 353.69$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia leading at halftime?this page
- Panama leading at halftime?No won
- Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.