UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58b670899c087c59740efa7db53bc52aefed9b3aa7d1fb861a863624484e6dd4

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Murtazali Magomedovof Melsik Baghdasaryan, Murtazali Magomedov
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $104,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $117,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,705 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	19c	17,020$3,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,233.71	134	52.2%70 W · 64 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	23c	7,195$1,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,652.66	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	7,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	21c	6,812$1,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420.05	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	19c	5,944$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,129.29	154	44.2%68 W · 86 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Murtazali Magomedov	78c	3,000$2,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.34	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	1c	2,835$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	2c	2,625$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+65.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Murtazali Magomedov	76c	2,625$1,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.94	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Murtazali Magomedov	77c	2,032$1,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.29	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Murtazali Magomedov	79c	2,000$1,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Murtazali Magomedov	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	3c	1,713$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.15	40	40%16 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	22c	1,654$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.08	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	19c	1,500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.99	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	21c	1,500$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.98	208	37%77 W · 131 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a66…9051backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	21c	1,148$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	23c	1,087$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.01	53	60.4%32 W · 21 L	+6.8wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…4652backed Murtazali Magomedov	78c	1,026$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.72	63	54%34 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	1,025$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.92	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.24per pick	50cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Murtazali Magomedov	76c	1,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	84	61.9%52 W · 32 L	+9.2wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80dd…3c83backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	21c	952.38$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Murtazali Magomedov	79c	886$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.06	417	54%225 W · 192 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	23c	880$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.9	128	45.3%58 W · 70 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd098…8d1cbacked Murtazali Magomedov	78c	806.41$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.41	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	70cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	18c	757.3$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1b…724fbacked Murtazali Magomedov	79c	750$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.5	49	81.6%40 W · 9 L	+7.8wins	+0.16per pick	66cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x85ee…f4dfbacked Murtazali Magomedov	76c	660.14$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.14	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Murtazali Magomedov	79c	632.91$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.91	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Murtazali Magomedov	73c	537.68$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.17	45	68.9%31 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d4acbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Murtazali Magomedov	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	22c	499.63$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.97	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	26c	480$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.8	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5f…b574backed Murtazali Magomedov	75c	455.71$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.93	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaef9…9b3dbacked Murtazali Magomedov	79c	441$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.61	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.24per pick	65cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	437.8$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.56	146	49.3%72 W · 74 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	400$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	23c	391.3$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	22c	371.45$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.72	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	27c	370$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f6b…2a84backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	21c	333.33$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	8c	329$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	22c	307$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.54	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Murtazali Magomedov	80c	302.48$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.5	200	48.5%97 W · 103 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	291.45$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.29	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+3.3wins	+0.33per pick	37cpaid	+108%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	291.45$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.29	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	15c	271.78$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.77	180	32.8%59 W · 121 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	25c	253.83$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.64	905	53.6%485 W · 420 L	+46.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Murtazali Magomedov	79c	251.58$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.83	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0817…b071backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Murtazali Magomedov	77c	250$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	24c	236.45$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.75	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb51…a1a4backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	21c	228.71$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.03	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Murtazali Magomedov	78c	224.36$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.36	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	76cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83bd…3f07backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	205$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a35…a978backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	18c	200$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.47	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…4745backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	23c	200$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	119	37.8%45 W · 74 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Murtazali Magomedov	78c	197$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.34	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	190.09$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.98	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ba…9c9dbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	178.9$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.78	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	22c	177.27$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d83…8673backed Murtazali Magomedov	79c	172.98$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.98	71	70.4%50 W · 21 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda79…daecbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	23c	172.93$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.14	184	40.8%75 W · 109 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	22c	168.64$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.1	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	13c	168.53$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	175	24%42 W · 133 L	-22.3wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	21c	166.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	15c	165.22$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.56	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	27cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x083c…a6edbacked Murtazali Magomedov	79c	151.9$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.6wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	16c	145$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d09…a9d8backed Murtazali Magomedov	78c	137.18$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	85	56.5%48 W · 37 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Murtazali Magomedov	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	265	69.4%184 W · 81 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	26c	124.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5de…33b5backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	23c	121.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	13c	116$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Murtazali Magomedov	78c	115.38$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.38	68	57.4%39 W · 29 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Murtazali Magomedov	75c	114$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.45	82	57.3%47 W · 35 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81d2…6911backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	105.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	+25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f19…77e3backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	105$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ed…ce26backed Murtazali Magomedov	74c	99.99$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	239	61.5%147 W · 92 L	+16.0wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe426…f4ffbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…1d45backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	26c	95.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.93	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05c6…f4e2backed Murtazali Magomedov	76c	92.11$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.11	225	68.9%155 W · 70 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	25c	90$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	26c	84.46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.38	242	56.2%136 W · 106 L	+20.8wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	78.93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.79	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7579…524abacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	76.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd051…53e1backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	21c	75.25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	283	33.2%94 W · 189 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x500c…8acdbacked Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5cc…ed79backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Melsik Baghdasaryan	20c	68.39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa917…8495backed Murtazali Magomedov	75c	63.33$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.83	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	70cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event