TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs FengDa Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FengDa Gamingof Chinggis Warriors, FengDa Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd705…fb7cbacked Chinggis Warriors25c1,467$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.8932536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed FengDa Gaming40c1,304$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.4857358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FengDa Gaming50c1,267$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.017,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Chinggis Warriors52c1,232$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.2136240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FengDa Gaming56c985.04$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.863,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Chinggis Warriors47c951.27$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.286,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678c…1debbacked Chinggis Warriors47c599.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0999…016ebacked FengDa Gaming57c469.14$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.31666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed FengDa Gaming48c435.61$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2223172.3%167 W · 64 L+27.0wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Chinggis Warriors50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec8…6ba2backed Chinggis Warriors70c324.68$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.181258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FengDa Gaming50c321.88$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.945,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce5…9e1bbacked FengDa Gaming56c315.78$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.634431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FengDa Gaming42c309.14$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.195,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Chinggis Warriors47c306.18$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.012,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Chinggis Warriors62c298.19$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.94,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…68c9backed Chinggis Warriors42c275$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.224051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Chinggis Warriors48c271.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4645565.9%300 W · 155 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e70…caccbacked FengDa Gaming61c268.18$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.713545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Chinggis Warriors67c265.28$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7517759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Chinggis Warriors70c261.62$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.115843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked FengDa Gaming59c256.7$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5229154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Chinggis Warriors57c256.21$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0469635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x056b…e7a4backed Chinggis Warriors41c246.41$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.891963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+30.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e0d…49fdbacked FengDa Gaming72c196.67$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Chinggis Warriors6c194$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.518413.1%11 W · 73 L-13.9wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-80.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked FengDa Gaming42c193.04$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9620358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9219…027cbacked FengDa Gaming74c167.35$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.518100%8 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+69.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd36…2eefbacked Chinggis Warriors60c148.27$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.13748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked FengDa Gaming32c140.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.811,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x355b…18ecbacked Chinggis Warriors70c140.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.211984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed FengDa Gaming35c130.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3953055.5%294 W · 236 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Chinggis Warriors64c127.19$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.416732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Chinggis Warriors42c125.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9184937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x382d…eb3abacked FengDa Gaming35c123.56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3125250.4%127 W · 125 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Chinggis Warriors66c118.74$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3736749.6%182 W · 185 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Chinggis Warriors44c116.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8120250%101 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked FengDa Gaming50c115.74$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4820744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked FengDa Gaming54c114.81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5519231.3%60 W · 132 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked FengDa Gaming50c112.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133c…b5abbacked Chinggis Warriors45c112.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.329240.2%37 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Chinggis Warriors44c110.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6135749.9%178 W · 179 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Chinggis Warriors41c110$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.122349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Chinggis Warriors33c107.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5129052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed FengDa Gaming49c103.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.91,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39e2…040dbacked FengDa Gaming37c102.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.810045%45 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Chinggis Warriors48c101.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6b…2a84backed Chinggis Warriors50c100.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.453638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed FengDa Gaming58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Chinggis Warriors50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.575356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Chinggis Warriors70c96.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.541,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed FengDa Gaming27c95.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.096650%33 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa640…3b9fbacked FengDa Gaming53c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.75848.3%28 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1623…048ebacked FengDa Gaming54c88.26$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked FengDa Gaming58c84.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5927754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Chinggis Warriors52c83.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7127848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1704…2e46backed FengDa Gaming73c80.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.832259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Chinggis Warriors49c79.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.818043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Chinggis Warriors68c72.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0414441%59 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Chinggis Warriors34c70.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0132138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FengDa Gaming32c68.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.392,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Chinggis Warriors40c67.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0810752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa655…b10cbacked FengDa Gaming51c66.94$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.82650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Chinggis Warriors38c66.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.241,39752.4%732 W · 665 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked Chinggis Warriors54c65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0715057.3%86 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked FengDa Gaming31c64.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Chinggis Warriors53c60.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3521528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x095e…beb0backed Chinggis Warriors74c60.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.671070%7 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick74cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Chinggis Warriors53c58.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6540148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Chinggis Warriors53c57.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4647260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4266…6106backed Chinggis Warriors58c57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc2…0751backed Chinggis Warriors39c54.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.282050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd09c…6562backed Chinggis Warriors70c53.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.121540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Chinggis Warriors59c50.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0591648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x32fa…f7bfbacked FengDa Gaming54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Chinggis Warriors46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2323057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44cb…feb2backed FengDa Gaming40c48.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.153234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x793c…22b6backed Chinggis Warriors50c47.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.554744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1283…0fcdbacked Chinggis Warriors61c45.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.891464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa983…16cbbacked Chinggis Warriors40c45.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.851833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18d…9c5bbacked Chinggis Warriors47c42.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9216051.9%83 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed Chinggis Warriors30c42.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0213036.9%48 W · 82 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Chinggis Warriors80c41.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.315373.2%112 W · 41 L+18.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d5c…0f04backed Chinggis Warriors37c37.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.872759.3%16 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Chinggis Warriors66c35.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5347856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed FengDa Gaming45c35.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.466949.3%34 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Chinggis Warriors40c35.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1216345.4%74 W · 89 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed FengDa Gaming35c35.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.951145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick22cpaid+212.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Chinggis Warriors49c33.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.254,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Chinggis Warriors45c31.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2865254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed Chinggis Warriors50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FengDa Gaming42c29.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed FengDa Gaming44c29.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.484961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40fc…2071backed Chinggis Warriors50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0136…8e5dbacked Chinggis Warriors49c28.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.095839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed FengDa Gaming43c24.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9220556.6%116 W · 89 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd2…c606backed Chinggis Warriors67c21.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Chinggis Warriors51c20.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5821623.6%51 W · 165 L-27.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-39.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed FengDa Gaming59c20.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FengDa Gaming52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.