CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d0424f6ba28787337b57a8203c4cef2c45d351535153c05f1fd9d0341e389f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Bounty Hunters Esports, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x790c…d8babacked Imperial | 78c | 1,535$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 20c | 942.91$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 37c | 563.09$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.54 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Imperial | 67c | 427.93$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 41c | 417.4$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40c…b1dbbacked Imperial | 73c | 399.93$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 36c | 321.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Imperial | 57c | 221$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 58c | 180.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Imperial | 58c | 133.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Imperial | 58c | 132.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Imperial | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial | 71c | 114.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 20c | 94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 20c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 35c | 57.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Imperial | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Imperial | 75c | 22.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Imperial | 63c | 16.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.