CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb8f5998eb4db16b9c387fb5772d872015676fc7d6293967d2edf2632f20d31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof magic, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 8,332$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic | 59c | 4,886$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.73 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed magic | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed magic | 26c | 1,425$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.08 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -6.8wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 1,133$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.82 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 36c | 848.38$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed magic | 49c | 794.23$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.73 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed magic | 57c | 721.93$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.5 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 40c | 623.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.02 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed magic | 38c | 574.42$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.53 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 559.76$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed magic | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic | 60c | 492.88$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.73 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…f92ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 483.28$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.33 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed magic | 8c | 459.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed magic | 38c | 419.05$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed magic | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Nuclear TigeRES | 74c | 392.47$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked magic | 45c | 378.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 356.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…a352backed Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 340.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 316.04$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed magic | 59c | 316$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked magic | 60c | 275$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 255.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 234.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 207.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1a…4a3ebacked magic | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked magic | 32c | 176.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked magic | 57c | 171.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 40c | 163.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked magic | 60c | 162.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked magic | 25c | 135.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed magic | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 119.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked magic | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked magic | 61c | 108.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed magic | 58c | 102.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed magic | 25c | 100.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 96.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…c8e7backed magic | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…133ebacked magic | 39c | 93.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed magic | 20c | 92.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 77.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked magic | 40c | 76.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 74.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…607cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 74.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed magic | 56c | 71.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed magic | 32c | 67.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 19c | 63.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 61.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed magic | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 58.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed magic | 60c | 52.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked magic | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…caccbacked magic | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed magic | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 49.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 43.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked magic | 60c | 43.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed magic | 61c | 41.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed magic | 51c | 38.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9c…40eebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 36.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 28.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 27.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 27.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked magic | 46c | 25.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked magic | 60c | 25.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked magic | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbc…8a70backed magic | 62c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 23.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed magic | 66c | 22.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed magic | 62c | 17.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.