CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcffb7529cc9c82321dad6d619c956eedaca5a429607e89e433aa000b41853d4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 426.95$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked magic | 58c | 425.9$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 35c | 378.12$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.71 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 346.58$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 185.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1a…4a3ebacked magic | 59c | 164.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 135.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed magic | 25c | 119.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Nuclear TigeRES | 30c | 107$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked magic | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 29c | 65.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Nuclear TigeRES | 20c | 56.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 50.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 45.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 38.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked magic | 77c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Nuclear TigeRES | 80c | 25.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 15.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.