CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce58d2e2a26c022d955c7d16aa622cc28e0e51bc3125a240e0f6f86c4a3eadf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- against All authorityof against All authority, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked against All authority | 49c | 3,021$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.55 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 2,971$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.37 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked against All authority | 51c | 1,393$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked against All authority | 48c | 1,233$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.28 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Misa Esports | 52c | 1,190$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.8 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Misa Esports | 50c | 1,094$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.74 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed against All authority | 47c | 1,092$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.56 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Misa Esports | 52c | 1,008$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.99 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Misa Esports | 51c | 949.99$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed against All authority | 48c | 540.7$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Misa Esports | 51c | 503.82$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.76 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Misa Esports | 53c | 403.38$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.79 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 6c | 373.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed against All authority | 50c | 357.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Misa Esports | 52c | 309.81$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed against All authority | 46c | 291.78$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Misa Esports | 53c | 283.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked against All authority | 49c | 242.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Misa Esports | 51c | 242.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed Misa Esports | 52c | 235.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.62 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed against All authority | 48c | 207.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed against All authority | 53c | 190.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Misa Esports | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 12c | 155.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 18c | 124.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked against All authority | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed against All authority | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Misa Esports | 11c | 116.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Misa Esports | 51c | 106.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…3cf4backed against All authority | 34c | 105$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed against All authority | 50c | 101.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed against All authority | 50c | 101.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed against All authority | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed against All authority | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked against All authority | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked against All authority | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Misa Esports | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed against All authority | 47c | 92.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed against All authority | 54c | 84.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Misa Esports | 14c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Misa Esports | 53c | 61.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed against All authority | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…fcf0backed Misa Esports | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked against All authority | 58c | 46.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Misa Esports | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed Misa Esports | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked against All authority | 49c | 33.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked against All authority | 46c | 28.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed against All authority | 48c | 27.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Misa Esports | 51c | 27.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed against All authority | 45c | 25.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 54c | 24.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked against All authority | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.