CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9943ac7ed3a09993e9dc931844dc22f9cbed59148b14d96382bf05a26de665ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Hashiras, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Hashiras | 55c | 5,892$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.37 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 45c | 2,950$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Phantom | 45c | 1,902$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.1 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Phantom | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Hashiras | 54c | 1,281$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.41 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 57c | 1,268$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.96 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Hashiras | 49c | 1,010$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.23 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Hashiras | 55c | 998.49$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.44 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Hashiras | 56c | 887.31$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.42 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Phantom | 45c | 801.91$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.82 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 49c | 719.96$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.94 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 45c | 676.85$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.05 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 47c | 502.76$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.26 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Phantom | 45c | 458.36$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.26 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Phantom | 33c | 406.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 48c | 400.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Hashiras | 56c | 387.3$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phantom | 45c | 336.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 46c | 313.35$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Phantom | 58c | 295.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Hashiras | 28c | 284.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.81 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Phantom | 58c | 250.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Phantom | 40c | 241.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked Hashiras | 47c | 207.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Hashiras | 56c | 205.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Phantom | 48c | 195.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Phantom | 45c | 189.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…4d03backed Hashiras | 47c | 184.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Phantom | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Hashiras | 50c | 162.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Hashiras | 52c | 149.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Phantom | 57c | 147.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Phantom | 48c | 141.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Hashiras | 51c | 135.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Hashiras | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Phantom | 47c | 129.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Hashiras | 50c | 120.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Phantom | 57c | 115.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Phantom | 51c | 114.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Phantom | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…c37ebacked Hashiras | 54c | 107.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Phantom | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Phantom | 44c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Phantom | 49c | 88.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Phantom | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Phantom | 41c | 81.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked Phantom | 50c | 80.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Hashiras | 50c | 78.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Hashiras | 34c | 77.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Phantom | 43c | 72.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Phantom | 67c | 72.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hashiras | 55c | 68.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…a9e1backed Hashiras | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom | 54c | 58.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Hashiras | 51c | 52.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed Phantom | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Phantom | 51c | 48.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Phantom | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Phantom | 44c | 36.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Hashiras | 57c | 36.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Phantom | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Hashiras | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Phantom | 63c | 25.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Phantom | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…3231backed Hashiras | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…9235backed Phantom | 44c | 23.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Phantom | 59c | 20.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerHashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.