Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50ab2f7bfa4fe62fb7fa9d7e248ed6784e8712eb43bd873990f67ac3f680ce44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 3,403$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.36 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 3c | 2,672$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 1,534$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 1,490$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.62 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 56c | 1,486$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.12 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 32c | 1,250$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.78 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 75c | 876.25$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.7 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Over | 34c | 873.97$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 28c | 706.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.01 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 282$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 257.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 49c | 205.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 55c | 181.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 149$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 40c | 144.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Under | 56c | 105.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 55c | 103$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Under | 71c | 60.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed Under | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 45c | 47.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 65c | 44.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…6b3fbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…b666backed Over | 46c | 41.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b0…2118backed Under | 58c | 37.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 35c | 36.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda41…61e3backed Over | 44c | 36.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…72e0backed Under | 58c | 33.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…4c6fbacked Over | 44c | 32.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 45c | 31.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 45c | 31.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…28babacked Under | 56c | 29.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Under | 74c | 22.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millwall FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.