Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8863f455152e161e9ae72cf7c6835453c859440f58969bfd5e06859be5d88789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Liquid, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 49c | 8,530$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.53 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Spirit | 65c | 7,697$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.83 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Liquid | 50c | 4,324$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.75 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 17c | 3,683$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.67 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 3,076$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.7 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit | 49c | 2,895$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.23 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 2,794$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.56 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 51c | 2,564$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.84 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 2,083$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.63 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Team Liquid | 35c | 2,079$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.57 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid | 34c | 2,000$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.93 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,744$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,741$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,500$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.45 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,472$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.89 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,138$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Team Liquid | 35c | 1,111$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 1,072$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.39 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,056$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Spirit | 57c | 999.99$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.99 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 50c | 907$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.5 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…1395backed Team Spirit | 67c | 901$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid | 14c | 896.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Team Liquid | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Spirit | 52c | 838.91$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.09 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 31c | 748.75$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.04 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Spirit | 49c | 714.94$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.72 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Liquid | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 37c | 572.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.38 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 505.64$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.03 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Team Liquid | 35c | 448.94$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 432.4$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.69 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit | 54c | 412.82$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.36 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Team Spirit | 67c | 407.27$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Team Liquid | 37c | 386.94$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 377.18$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid | 35c | 364.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Liquid | 53c | 352.86$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.72 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Team Spirit | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Spirit | 58c | 347.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 342.62$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Liquid | 36c | 341$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Liquid | 59c | 337.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Team Liquid | 35c | 313.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 14c | 300.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Team Spirit | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit | 56c | 294.57$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…eb6cbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 280.77$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Team Liquid | 53c | 277.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…e506backed Team Spirit | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Liquid | 42c | 259.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 40c | 251.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 249.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Team Liquid | 34c | 220.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Team Spirit | 52c | 206.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Spirit | 59c | 205$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Team Liquid | 28c | 204.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked Team Liquid | 49c | 204.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Team Spirit | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Spirit | 51c | 196.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 181.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…7deebacked Team Liquid | 35c | 172.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Team Liquid | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Team Spirit | 57c | 169.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 24c | 164.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Team Liquid | 12c | 162.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…e61bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 153.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Liquid | 20c | 151.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed Team Spirit | 58c | 150.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Team Liquid | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Team Liquid | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…40e5backed Team Spirit | 66c | 149.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Liquid | 37c | 149.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Team Spirit | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Team Spirit | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Team Spirit | 44c | 134.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 49c | 129.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Spirit | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Spirit | 51c | 126.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 120.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…615fbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 118$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Team Spirit | 51c | 111.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed Team Liquid | 35c | 110.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Team Liquid | 46c | 107.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Spirit | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Spirit | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Spirit | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Team Liquid | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aca…b6dcbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 98.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…b213backed Team Spirit | 47c | 96.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Spirit | 52c | 96.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 95.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Liquid | 18c | 92.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Spirit | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 87.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.