CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9z vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x090edc94ddbaba93c4d7a176a66dfd03efdead5f6c93b18c9fc27b32a6f2d15a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof 9z, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked ShindeN | 48c | 6,998$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.59 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 9z | 54c | 3,139$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.82 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 9z | 51c | 2,141$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.75 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed 9z | 34c | 1,500$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked 9z | 42c | 1,312$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ShindeN | 60c | 888.55$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.16 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked ShindeN | 52c | 553$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.26 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe202…d282backed ShindeN | 44c | 391.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 9z | 33c | 293$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked 9z | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed ShindeN | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…7ab7backed 9z | 55c | 82.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed 9z | 66c | 60.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed 9z | 47c | 56.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed 9z | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed 9z | 48c | 39.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked 9z | 66c | 37.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed ShindeN | 43c | 30.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…39eebacked 9z | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked 9z | 59c | 24.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed 9z | 67c | 24.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…13cdbacked 9z | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.