CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 9z vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283ec16dbd3c3bdc2cd6a087c1c8bde1b6ee83302e4c517ee6f5282f388495ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof 9z, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked ShindeN | 54c | 6,999$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.94 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 9z | 46c | 5,830$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.68 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 9z | 39c | 4,016$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.59 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ShindeN | 65c | 2,288$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.62 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ShindeN | 56c | 1,952$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.41 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ShindeN | 34c | 1,518$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.86 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ShindeN | 47c | 1,055$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.98 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed 9z | 72c | 1,023$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.67 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ShindeN | 28c | 998.15$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.67 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 9z | 11c | 625$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed 9z | 41c | 600$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed 9z | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked 9z | 46c | 470.95$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed 9z | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed ShindeN | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…4442backed 9z | 69c | 334$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed ShindeN | 32c | 313.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 9z | 36c | 309.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed 9z | 41c | 211.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed 9z | 75c | 172.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked ShindeN | 59c | 170.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed ShindeN | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ShindeN | 52c | 131.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 9z | 68c | 117$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…7c2bbacked 9z | 73c | 108$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed 9z | 38c | 104.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…1600backed 9z | 73c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 9z | 43c | 69.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed 9z | 68c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x029f…9970backed 9z | 73c | 57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed 9z | 45c | 53.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ShindeN | 41c | 45.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed 9z | 28c | 42.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked ShindeN | 29c | 41.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked 9z | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked 9z | 70c | 37.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…c3c9backed 9z | 73c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed ShindeN | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed ShindeN | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed 9z | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 9z | 40c | 29.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed ShindeN | 54c | 29.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked 9z | 49c | 29.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed 9z | 41c | 27.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked 9z | 50c | 25.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed 9z | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed ShindeN | 56c | 24.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed 9z | 68c | 22.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked 9z | 56c | 20.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 9z | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed ShindeN | 72c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs ShindeN (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.