Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ec154ef639330c10e9d50906cc4267a481c1657a04890e8a690728f8b5f55c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof MIBR, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 37c | 2,414$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.11 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed G2 Esports | 57c | 1,837$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports | 49c | 908$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.1 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked MIBR | 15c | 717.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked G2 Esports | 55c | 670.48$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed MIBR | 44c | 530$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.7 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed MIBR | 8c | 439.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 46c | 431.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed G2 Esports | 61c | 329.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked MIBR | 7c | 315.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked MIBR | 39c | 309.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…d4d9backed MIBR | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked MIBR | 8c | 221.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed G2 Esports | 58c | 199.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked MIBR | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed G2 Esports | 59c | 170.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR | 32c | 109.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked MIBR | 47c | 105.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed MIBR | 42c | 88.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked G2 Esports | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MIBR | 17c | 58.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked MIBR | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed MIBR | 46c | 28.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked MIBR | 40c | 28.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed G2 Esports | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed MIBR | 48c | 21.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed G2 Esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Esports | 63c | 17.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.