Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x271a5f4cc2483f2eac04a02b6a1a440b7c34398d06c06d1bfd88513c383b1f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof MIBR, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed G2 Esports | 63c | 10,569$6,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.64 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed MIBR | 37c | 8,055$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked G2 Esports | 64c | 3,921$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.3 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR | 36c | 3,182$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.37 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR | 36c | 1,461$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.05 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed MIBR | 28c | 1,208$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 24c | 1,205$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.03 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…4704backed MIBR | 41c | 1,091$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.27 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed MIBR | 34c | 763.29$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 675.57$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed G2 Esports | 69c | 533.44$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.73 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed G2 Esports | 60c | 494.3$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.72 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Esports | 64c | 454.78$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed MIBR | 31c | 417.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked G2 Esports | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed MIBR | 41c | 241.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 44c | 170.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked MIBR | 27c | 137.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed G2 Esports | 62c | 100.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed MIBR | 37c | 84.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MIBR | 25c | 80.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked G2 Esports | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed G2 Esports | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked MIBR | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed MIBR | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked MIBR | 39c | 51.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MIBR | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed G2 Esports | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Esports | 66c | 36.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed MIBR | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed MIBR | 33c | 30.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed MIBR | 37c | 28.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked G2 Esports | 75c | 26.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…f993backed G2 Esports | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82b…5b3dbacked G2 Esports | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed G2 Esports | 64c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.