Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1eaec6806bd8319fb04c37b532afef76c1305eaffb5de234a3b88a398d066a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof MIBR, G2 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed G2 Esports | 59c | 7,665$4,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR | 41c | 2,555$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.5 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR | 43c | 2,015$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.08 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked MIBR | 52c | 1,762$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed G2 Esports | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…116abacked MIBR | 34c | 1,460$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 46c | 1,239$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.6 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked MIBR | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked G2 Esports | 56c | 810.46$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked MIBR | 33c | 680.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.91 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed G2 Esports | 57c | 541.46$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.83 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed G2 Esports | 67c | 373.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked MIBR | 55c | 273.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 45c | 167.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked G2 Esports | 61c | 164.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed MIBR | 42c | 135.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed G2 Esports | 48c | 130.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked MIBR | 38c | 118.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked MIBR | 44c | 92.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked MIBR | 55c | 91.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…e97bbacked MIBR | 24c | 83.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked G2 Esports | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed G2 Esports | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MIBR | 54c | 64.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed G2 Esports | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked G2 Esports | 44c | 59.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked MIBR | 26c | 56.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…2387backed MIBR | 38c | 53.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed MIBR | 22c | 50.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82b…5b3dbacked G2 Esports | 68c | 39.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed MIBR | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed G2 Esports | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MIBR | 31c | 31.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed MIBR | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.