CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35bbb964ca8d779bb5720ba397c05b50189d651a7d8b9e9dc7011b84f5e196f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked 100 Thieves | 39c | 1,588$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.37 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 1,281$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed NIP | 60c | 829.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.66 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 656.05$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.51 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed NIP | 77c | 650$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 639.23$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed NIP | 61c | 630.29$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed NIP | 50c | 608.49$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.25 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed NIP | 57c | 577.67$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.67 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed NIP | 59c | 481.1$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 462.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.71 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 418$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…1aa1backed NIP | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 383.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed NIP | 58c | 377.83$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 279.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed NIP | 61c | 255.9$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 79c | 228.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 221.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NIP | 56c | 221.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP | 61c | 203.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 199.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed NIP | 52c | 198.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 181.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked NIP | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 157.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NIP | 54c | 156.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 54c | 143.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed NIP | 60c | 132.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked NIP | 56c | 106.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…e795backed NIP | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed NIP | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 86.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 84.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed NIP | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed NIP | 64c | 79.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed NIP | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked NIP | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 65.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed NIP | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked NIP | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NIP | 72c | 61.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 60.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 59.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed NIP | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 117 | 67.5%79 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked NIP | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed NIP | 52c | 52.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 51.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed NIP | 55c | 50.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed NIP | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked NIP | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked NIP | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked NIP | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed NIP | 56c | 39.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed NIP | 56c | 38.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked NIP | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69e…e918backed NIP | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a6…1d51backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed NIP | 52c | 35.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…bc9ebacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 35.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked NIP | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 31.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed NIP | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed NIP | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked NIP | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked NIP | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 29.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b3…b908backed NIP | 68c | 29.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…6fadbacked NIP | 62c | 24.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed NIP | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…1a70backed NIP | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.