Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ivory vs REKONIX (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aa74d6f21ee8e85a9f0c55b7f3886f5c6f017656388308e18a410a16d18db26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivoryof Ivory, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked REKONIX | 5c | 2,106$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked REKONIX | 23c | 1,200$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe971…e480backed REKONIX | 70c | 1,006$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ivory | 23c | 999.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed REKONIX | 3c | 917.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…3f0dbacked Ivory | 30c | 722.57$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Ivory | 36c | 561.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.95 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 74c | 539.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed REKONIX | 77c | 504.67$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Ivory | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Ivory | 79c | 443.55$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…b4d2backed REKONIX | 69c | 349.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ivory | 40c | 344.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.34 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked REKONIX | 41c | 322$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Ivory | 77c | 300.11$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ivory | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed REKONIX | 67c | 296.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ivory | 44c | 226.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed REKONIX | 76c | 220.24$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…2422backed Ivory | 35c | 210$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Ivory | 63c | 202.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked REKONIX | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Ivory | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Ivory | 80c | 194.56$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked REKONIX | 37c | 183.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Ivory | 63c | 175.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 54c | 173.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked REKONIX | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…82b5backed REKONIX | 71c | 140.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…06d5backed REKONIX | 72c | 131.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed REKONIX | 11c | 124.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed REKONIX | 44c | 102.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked REKONIX | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed REKONIX | 49c | 89.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed REKONIX | 58c | 88.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ivory | 29c | 79.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked REKONIX | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…01afbacked Ivory | 79c | 71.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked REKONIX | 71c | 71.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed REKONIX | 50c | 66.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked REKONIX | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 66c | 59.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Ivory | 47c | 55.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Ivory | 77c | 51.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…3d5dbacked REKONIX | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed REKONIX | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Ivory | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Ivory | 42c | 27.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Ivory | 60c | 26.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818f…e857backed REKONIX | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed REKONIX | 77c | 23.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed REKONIX | 70c | 22.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Ivory | 52c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REKONIX | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…89b0backed REKONIX | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Ivory | 55c | 19.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed REKONIX | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…76eabacked Ivory | 68c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ivory vs REKONIX (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Ivory vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerIvory won
- Dota 2: Ivory vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.