Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668eab2b8659b1809193597abe9365fcc0d1a5c8e239364347d318fa9590f97f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Redhawksof San Diego Toreros, Seattle Redhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eee…0a68backed San Diego Toreros | 22c | 3,146$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Redhawks | 77c | 2,254$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 1,350$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.58 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked San Diego Toreros | 2c | 1,136$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 78c | 1,084$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.65 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Diego Toreros | 18c | 929.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Diego Toreros | 24c | 785.31$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.78 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…d82abacked San Diego Toreros | 3c | 642.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 76c | 242.12$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Redhawks | 76c | 226.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 80c | 195.21$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked San Diego Toreros | 20c | 162$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Toreros | 26c | 144$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Seattle Redhawks | 76c | 138.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…52d8backed San Diego Toreros | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Redhawks | 77c | 125.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked San Diego Toreros | 19c | 110.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed San Diego Toreros | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed San Diego Toreros | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed San Diego Toreros | 18c | 98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego Toreros | 17c | 91.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Diego Toreros | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…ca11backed San Diego Toreros | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed San Diego Toreros | 18c | 69.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f7…fb66backed San Diego Toreros | 19c | 59.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked San Diego Toreros | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed San Diego Toreros | 28c | 44.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 78c | 29.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawksthis page
- San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 147.5Under won
- San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-9.5)Seattle Redhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.