Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1734d36b338aa6ad065aeaf0af4a1fa1e5d7dcf1af2478e18f2d41576d2b02dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 236,008$116,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,137.71 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,500 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 60,010$30,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,005 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 9,970$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,835.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 5,074$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 52c | 2,870$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.79 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 1,745$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.15 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 1,400$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 1,366$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.61 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 51c | 664.65$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.68 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 501$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 52c | 409.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 52c | 211$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 141$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 52c | 137.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…6cabbacked Under | 52c | 82.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 57.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 52c | 56.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Under | 51c | 29.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 52c | 27.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 27.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 49c | 23.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 52c | 21.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 148.5this page
- San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle RedhawksSeattle Redhawks won
- San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-9.5)Seattle Redhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.