Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5962709ec6bc6750b08218a2aa5a1f1ee1e91c4ff97d9a47673f6025f52e228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Redhawksof Seattle Redhawks, San Diego Toreros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $558,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $558,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $558,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 555,049$288,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266,490.23 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked San Diego Toreros | 48c | 300,000$144,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed San Diego Toreros | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed San Diego Toreros | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.24 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Toreros | 48c | 15,563$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,520.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Toreros | 48c | 8,610$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego Toreros | 48c | 6,455$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed San Diego Toreros | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 672$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 416.81$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 416.67$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 324.42$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 263.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 262.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 262$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 173.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked San Diego Toreros | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 141.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked San Diego Toreros | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 89.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 83.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked San Diego Toreros | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf300…ca70backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 78.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked San Diego Toreros | 51c | 66.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked San Diego Toreros | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Seattle Redhawks | 73c | 51.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 43.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked San Diego Toreros | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked San Diego Toreros | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked San Diego Toreros | 49c | 38.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked San Diego Toreros | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 23.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…2e45backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-9.5)this page
- San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle RedhawksSeattle Redhawks won
- San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 147.5Under won
- San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.