Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88282d9fa10a61fa30eb12f2277ab03ed2f83957ecf6b77474d56339bc020dbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof Inner Circle, VP.Prodigy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle | 61c | 2,780$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.78 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed VP.Prodigy | 41c | 1,989$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.73 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked VP.Prodigy | 46c | 1,418$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.34 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Inner Circle | 8c | 403.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed VP.Prodigy | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed VP.Prodigy | 75c | 399.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Inner Circle | 39c | 255.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Inner Circle | 14c | 221$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 73c | 208.91$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle | 24c | 191.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 142.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 140.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 138.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed VP.Prodigy | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 91.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Inner Circle | 40c | 90.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b2…41f8backed Inner Circle | 67c | 90.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed VP.Prodigy | 80c | 84.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed VP.Prodigy | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 37.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…5aa5backed Inner Circle | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed VP.Prodigy | 63c | 27.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked VP.Prodigy | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked VP.Prodigy | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked VP.Prodigy | 72c | 15.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.