Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cc262ef0d7aef95e7c1ca9c67eb43610386db2b972ab1be6082b2128a1fa616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 5,297$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.37 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 26c | 960$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 802$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 41c | 667.73$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.77 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 575.03$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 49c | 557.4$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.13 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 26c | 225.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 28c | 212.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Yes | 51c | 209.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes | 54c | 201.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc832…ed2bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 32c | 155$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 53c | 147$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…df45backed Yes | 51c | 123.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 42c | 116.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…1ab8backed Yes | 54c | 105.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 47c | 98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 48c | 71.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 41c | 70.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 43c | 60.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed No | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 29.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 52c | 28.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.