Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadec6d8294cae37d07237f4d2315d3bb7626e2e253774f8f62c280086488f00e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 15,988$9,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,592.06 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 60c | 2,301$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.71 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 1,629$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.2 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.97 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 69c | 1,037$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 58c | 759.28$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.49 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 37c | 714.36$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.31 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 68c | 617.79$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.1 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Over | 64c | 540$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.6 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 56c | 403.64$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 57c | 400.04$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 33c | 358.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 59c | 354.31$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 348.16$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 340$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 50c | 329.64$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 38c | 317.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 68c | 308.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 191$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 57c | 176.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…2b44backed Over | 32c | 175.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 66c | 169$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 75c | 150$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 129.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 69c | 104.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 40c | 100.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 94.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…3735backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…d27abacked Over | 30c | 56.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…b628backed Over | 68c | 54.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…1ab8backed Over | 71c | 45.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 66c | 33.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 33.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2169…79b8backed Over | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 77cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Under | 70c | 25.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Under | 45c | 22.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 54c | 21.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.