TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under63c14,113$8,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,164.0184850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7008245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c8,610$5,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.943,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c5,800$3,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,72633349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Over49c4,099$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.985545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.95812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over47c2,982$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.457143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under53c1,824$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.117040%28 W · 42 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over10c1,749$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.96923.2%16 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c1,572$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.2591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c1,536$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.5935158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under53c900$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42342844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under53c871.23$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.3433847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over41c713.78$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5815846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under51c661.76$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.2612955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505026%13 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over48c599.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2882634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over48c599.98$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.995738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over47c420$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.414252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over47c420$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.48444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+62.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006323.8%15 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16819546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18824655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6823…2acabacked Under54c392.74$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over43c390$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.965242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under55c384.45$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1734050%20 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f40…5f6fbacked Over47c376.94$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over47c330$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.19037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.49444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Under53c315.69$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14113650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over47c280.89$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0212948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.523757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010963.3%69 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over42c233.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.024841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over7c209.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over49c203.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over47c190$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.36446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.68056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad3…a392backed Under55c170.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.96349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.97248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.97647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.57544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.59142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.57540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over45c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.58847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.48052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.48146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.48048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over47c119.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.47754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under53c117.57$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.218660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over47c113.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.217544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.218062.5%50 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over35c101$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.357636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474450%22 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Over23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.67848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.64854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c73.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.99450%47 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over30c63.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8570239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.27949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.26448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.27852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.27648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.27651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.27951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.210852.8%57 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.26144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.27853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over47c59.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.176741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under60c54.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.832986.2%25 W · 4 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.211643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6680…dac9backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.66956.5%39 W · 30 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef41…6438backed Over42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over48c33.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.971250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.15660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127028.6%20 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ee…012fbacked Over46c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over47c28.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.43855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed Over46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.