Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0665998da844b0788fb709607978b52e8dc7f2718530a9c7c896cd8c4eb01a5f

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $86,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,705 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbd70…ccdbbacked Under	35c	31,894$11,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,163.02	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	65c	9,738$6,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,396.35	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over	68c	7,945$5,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,564.9	282	42.2%119 W · 163 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	32c	5,468$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,749.75	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over	65c	5,000$3,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	65c	4,300$2,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,505	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	68c	3,253$2,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,041.03	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under	34c	3,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.94	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	33c	2,743$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.65	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	34c	2,300$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.99	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over	66c	2,273$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.73	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	65c	2,135$1,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$747.1	183	62.3%114 W · 69 L	+17.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	67c	1,936$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.78	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under	32c	1,758$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.51	370	54.9%203 W · 167 L	+15.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	33c	1,515$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	65c	1,515$985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.24	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over	68c	1,500$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	64cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under	35c	1,491$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.7	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over	66c	1,111$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.34	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over	67c	1,110$744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.3	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	34c	1,061$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.74	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Under	34c	999.85$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.95	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over	66c	753.03$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.03	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over	65c	751$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.85	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over	65c	751$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.85	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over	66c	700$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238	135	65.2%88 W · 47 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	33c	679.99$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.4	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under	32c	588$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.16	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over	65c	588$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.8	210	49%103 W · 107 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over	66c	565.15$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.15	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce4…62fcbacked Over	67c	543.32$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.23	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.18per pick	61cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	66c	530.3$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.3	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	65c	500$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	232	58.2%135 W · 97 L	+13.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over	67c	500$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-7.4wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Under	35c	500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	66c	454.55$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.55	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under	22c	381.77$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.04	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ce…21ebbacked Over	68c	310$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.2	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x548c…9d1fbacked Over	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e1…0f14backed Over	68c	300$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.5	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over	66c	298.48$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.48	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…c25bbacked Under	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over	66c	283.33$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.33	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Over	68c	280.04$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.61	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4e…2917backed Over	66c	279$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.86	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+39%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under	33c	278$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.74	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	35c	250$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.5	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Over	67c	234.48$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.38	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	66c	227.27$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.27	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under	34c	179.99$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	191	45%86 W · 105 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over	80c	170.07$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	208	64.9%135 W · 73 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e94…4186backed Over	66c	133.33$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.33	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.26per pick	58cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	34c	118.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.11	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	61c	115.84$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.74	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Over	67c	110.09$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.33	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over	65c	110$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	164	53.7%88 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2600…f0dcbacked Over	66c	100.18$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.06	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Under	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Under	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	66c	93.65$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.28	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	67c	89.55$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.55	145	51.7%75 W · 70 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	66c	83.33$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.33	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4415…b335backed Over	66c	80$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	68c	73.95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.95	317	47.6%151 W · 166 L	-14.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Under	35c	71.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	117	36.8%43 W · 74 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Under	35c	71.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	118	39%46 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	28c	67.57$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over	63c	62.54$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Over	66c	59.15$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.11	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Over	66c	53.03$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.03	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	66c	52.72$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	68cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over	66c	45.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.45	250	57.6%144 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Over	66c	45.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.45	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+8.1wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under	32c	45.06$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61bc…d436backed Over	67c	44.78$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.78	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Over	67c	44.16$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f99…e345backed Under	35c	41.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	45cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Over	60c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	60c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	144	63.9%92 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef1f…3df5backed Over	66c	37.88$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.88	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	33c	37.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	298	55%164 W · 134 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	35c	34.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over	68c	33.96$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.96	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ad…1ab8backed Over	66c	32.91$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.19	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-4.3wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d13…1569backed Over	65c	32$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce3…2ceebacked Over	67c	32$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…fb51backed Under	33c	31.3$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-5.4wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-7.3wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd033…033dbacked Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ec…f93abacked Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+5.4wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfa00…9fe3backed Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	60cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e73…27a3backed Over	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa556…e483backed Under	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5this page
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event