Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a4e44a4b6292ce54f42c009c5193b9b2d373facf3af76e2b782d81ee22c0ec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $659,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $749,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 58c | 68,428$39,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,628.06 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,999.98 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 49,254$15,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,551.63 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed PlayTime | 74c | 25,690$19,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,683.77 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed PlayTime | 56c | 21,959$12,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,585.38 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yakult Brothers | 46c | 17,269$7,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,945.82 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed PlayTime | 31c | 16,100$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,066.98 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked PlayTime | 51c | 15,270$7,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,503.29 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed PlayTime | 50c | 12,200$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 11,994$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,201.43 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PlayTime | 34c | 11,660$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,750.18 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PlayTime | 50c | 11,121$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600.99 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed PlayTime | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 9,600$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked PlayTime | 30c | 9,166$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,447.63 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 8,336$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.21 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked PlayTime | 46c | 6,327$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.96 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yakult Brothers | 33c | 6,304$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.21 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 6,011$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.56 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed PlayTime | 62c | 5,355$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.5 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed PlayTime | 61c | 4,771$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…4394backed PlayTime | 61c | 4,611$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed PlayTime | 75c | 4,261$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.29 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 4,235$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.69 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 4,200$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.98 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…5c9cbacked Yakult Brothers | 19c | 4,119$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 3,990$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.27 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed PlayTime | 50c | 3,518$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.33 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 3,516$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.04 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed PlayTime | 42c | 3,500$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.41 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yakult Brothers | 62c | 3,100$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed PlayTime | 49c | 3,062$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.65 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed PlayTime | 44c | 2,938$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.94 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 2,895$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.86 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 50c | 2,561$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.67 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b4…4e24backed PlayTime | 49c | 2,553$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.65 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 2,416$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.34 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Yakult Brothers | 65c | 2,296$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 2,284$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.74 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 2,220$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.05 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…0ff3backed PlayTime | 42c | 2,168$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.55 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PlayTime | 55c | 2,165$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.68 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked PlayTime | 50c | 2,151$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.78 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed PlayTime | 78c | 2,150$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.46 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 2,088$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.32 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 2,051$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yakult Brothers | 62c | 2,000$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.49 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed PlayTime | 42c | 1,925$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.81 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 1,900$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 1,885$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 1,874$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.42 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked PlayTime | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 1,800$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked PlayTime | 48c | 1,776$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.62 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed PlayTime | 45c | 1,772$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.96 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 1,700$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed PlayTime | 56c | 1,626$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.47 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Yakult Brothers | 62c | 1,606$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed PlayTime | 45c | 1,600$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.73 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 1,591$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.17 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 1,539$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.79 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PlayTime | 58c | 1,505$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.04 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Yakult Brothers | 75c | 1,465$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.33 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 1,433$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.87 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…4d3dbacked PlayTime | 23c | 1,408$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.08 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 1,404$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.24 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed PlayTime | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed PlayTime | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PlayTime | 37c | 1,364$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.67 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PlayTime | 46c | 1,323$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.27 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked Yakult Brothers | 25c | 1,311$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 1,296$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.54 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed PlayTime | 55c | 1,273$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.09 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…a961backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 1,230$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.07 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed PlayTime | 52c | 1,197$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.67 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed PlayTime | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…a37dbacked PlayTime | 49c | 1,131$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.62 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Yakult Brothers | 63c | 1,113$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PlayTime | 76c | 1,102$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.58 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PlayTime | 48c | 1,026$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.62 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PlayTime | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Yakult Brothers | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked PlayTime | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 998.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 980$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Yakult Brothers | 19c | 958.65$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Yakult Brothers | 70c | 957.89$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.24 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 55c | 925.14$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.41 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked PlayTime | 52c | 915.93$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.92 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed PlayTime | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Yakult Brothers | 23c | 879.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yakult Brothers | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Yakult Brothers | 48c | 835.62$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.04 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked PlayTime | 49c | 832.37$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.55 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…7ddfbacked Yakult Brothers | 9c | 819.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PlayTime | 61c | 808.62$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.36 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked PlayTime | 60c | 801.28$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 785.38$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.74 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-2.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+2.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.