TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5832…ac2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
21
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$19.93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$37.82
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$20.13
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$9.65
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Dota 2: FTS vs Level UP (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Derby County FC vs. Cardiff City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$15.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.