Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb38ba6045400ab43ffc68d0c43dceed3ac98e74ad37bbc91fc8fbe7d0defc156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2723…8d2dbacked Yes | 2c | 15,383$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.59 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…13f7backed Yes | 1c | 11,009$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +464.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,985$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 1c | 10,015$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 13c | 8,820$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.22 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 39c | 8,328$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.95 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 68c | 4,767$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.17 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 40c | 3,948$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.65 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…b24bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…9bfdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,350$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed Yes | 35c | 2,999$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.52 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…f218backed Yes | 3c | 2,984$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 3c | 2,958$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,782$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 59c | 2,569$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.22 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff03…2a65backed Yes | 2c | 2,315$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…e94fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,038$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d9…23f3backed Yes | 37c | 1,931$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.83 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…99cbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,864$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 43c | 1,753$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.44 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…52c4backed Yes | 2c | 1,396$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +842%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 61c | 1,104$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.49 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 2c | 1,095$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 71c | 976.43$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes | 41c | 900.82$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…6af4backed Yes | 10c | 843.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed No | 57c | 770.81$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 757.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…e441backed No | 59c | 700$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 30c | 672.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 3c | 629.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d68…db93backed Yes | 2c | 544.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 3c | 504.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb83…0dd9backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe774…6457backed Yes | 5c | 499.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…4ccbbacked No | 48c | 473.03$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.97 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 3c | 461.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…d717backed Yes | 22c | 404.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170d…064cbacked Yes | 7c | 399.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 80c | 387.74$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 5c | 366.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…d034backed No | 56c | 309.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…bfd9backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 25c | 292.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…6645backed No | 64c | 225.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…091fbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc20…8ed3backed Yes | 29c | 196.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…735dbacked Yes | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +363%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…6767backed No | 75c | 170.28$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaac…c198backed No | 61c | 162.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 63c | 152.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed Yes | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 24c | 123.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 22c | 119.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…a10fbacked No | 67c | 110.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…e6f6backed Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf1…6ca1backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 34c | 87.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…db6cbacked No | 35c | 85.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f81…86efbacked No | 50c | 77.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…293ebacked Yes | 38c | 65.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed No | 58c | 55.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 41c | 48.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…0f17backed No | 63c | 47.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed No | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…d0f8backed No | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…4fafbacked No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…6807backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…a4b1backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 51c | 38.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Yes | 42c | 36.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…9208backed No | 60c | 33.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…d718backed No | 59c | 32.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…ac2cbacked Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…fe8abacked Yes | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…c19ebacked No | 67c | 26.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a2…3c83backed Yes | 45c | 23.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc264…216ebacked No | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…103fbacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…5a5ebacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…48c2backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 27-August 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 27-August 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 27-August 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 27-August 2?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 27-August 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.