CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff66a95ce0fd73e742657e579ea0883e341c1d21e0e8fc9d19760eee4ad2c914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof ex-MANA eSports, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 3,683$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.97 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed ex-MANA eSports | 46c | 3,060$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.96 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Donstu Esports | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Donstu Esports | 44c | 1,753$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.87 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Donstu Esports | 53c | 1,333$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.51 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Donstu Esports | 51c | 1,065$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.84 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-MANA eSports | 32c | 1,042$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Donstu Esports | 54c | 714$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.44 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 571.09$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed ex-MANA eSports | 52c | 566.85$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.46 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-MANA eSports | 24c | 520.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed ex-MANA eSports | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ex-MANA eSports | 59c | 486.68$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked ex-MANA eSports | 57c | 464$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.4 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 417.09$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.21 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked ex-MANA eSports | 38c | 396.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed ex-MANA eSports | 52c | 379.44$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 25c | 339.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 288.79$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-MANA eSports | 59c | 285.76$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Donstu Esports | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Donstu Esports | 46c | 217.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 198.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 195.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c3…ef7cbacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 192.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Donstu Esports | 47c | 166.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Donstu Esports | 53c | 166.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed ex-MANA eSports | 26c | 155.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Donstu Esports | 41c | 147.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 142.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 113$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed ex-MANA eSports | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Donstu Esports | 52c | 102.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Donstu Esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Donstu Esports | 49c | 98.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Donstu Esports | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 97.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…1129backed Donstu Esports | 62c | 95.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Donstu Esports | 78c | 86.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 248 | 42.3%105 W · 143 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Donstu Esports | 58c | 78.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Donstu Esports | 62c | 78.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c4…74bbbacked Donstu Esports | 62c | 68.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…a25fbacked Donstu Esports | 62c | 66.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fe…311abacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc55b…b164backed ex-MANA eSports | 52c | 55.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Donstu Esports | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…9277backed Donstu Esports | 62c | 47.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2397…e527backed Donstu Esports | 43c | 46.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784c…fcb9backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 44.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 45c | 41.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…6a2cbacked Donstu Esports | 65c | 35.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Donstu Esports | 42c | 33.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Donstu Esports | 47c | 33.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…7a02backed Donstu Esports | 62c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Donstu Esports | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Donstu Esports | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Donstu Esports | 39c | 28.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Donstu Esports | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…7900backed Donstu Esports | 57c | 19.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.