CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ff8152b5c7be0a18736cbca938aca9e814bcf0ef4a5e1de165414af85bce21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof WBT, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked WBT | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team | 50c | 2,769$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked WBT | 55c | 887.99$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.39 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 50c | 838.19$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed WBT | 51c | 588.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team | 45c | 557$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.35 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Leo Team | 40c | 377.95$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed WBT | 63c | 319.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Leo Team | 69c | 300.08$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WBT | 34c | 259.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed Leo Team | 34c | 229.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.69 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Leo Team | 45c | 224.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Leo Team | 46c | 216.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked WBT | 50c | 214.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Leo Team | 51c | 201.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed WBT | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked WBT | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Leo Team | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Leo Team | 45c | 156.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Leo Team | 67c | 148.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed WBT | 60c | 143.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed WBT | 40c | 139.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed WBT | 59c | 134.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed WBT | 37c | 130.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked WBT | 55c | 108.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6875…7337backed Leo Team | 50c | 106.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed WBT | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Leo Team | 72c | 97.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed WBT | 51c | 95.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Leo Team | 48c | 95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed WBT | 37c | 86.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Leo Team | 46c | 86.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55b…b164backed Leo Team | 45c | 71.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Leo Team | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed WBT | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Leo Team | 44c | 68.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed WBT | 56c | 67.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed WBT | 60c | 55.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…e584backed Leo Team | 35c | 48.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked WBT | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Leo Team | 40c | 40.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Leo Team | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…c60abacked Leo Team | 50c | 40.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…e4abbacked Leo Team | 43c | 38.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Leo Team | 41c | 36.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Leo Team | 40c | 35.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…75cabacked WBT | 57c | 35.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Leo Team | 47c | 33.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed WBT | 53c | 32.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked WBT | 41c | 32.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Leo Team | 47c | 32.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…c56bbacked Leo Team | 32c | 32.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…2162backed Leo Team | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed WBT | 57c | 30.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Leo Team | 49c | 27.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Leo Team | 61c | 24.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…a931backed Leo Team | 72c | 23.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Leo Team | 53c | 23.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked WBT | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Leo Team | 78c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…9d6cbacked WBT | 67c | 20.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed WBT | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x73db…1507backed Leo Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Leo Team | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: WBT vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.