CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf590f6759fb5294693f2a0be34b5a3cd0cc7f6ba4152edd4b233da817ffabd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 65c | 2,041$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.65 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…25bfbacked Over | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.34 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 37c | 1,279$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.28 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 64c | 937.48$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…d914backed Over | 36c | 851.56$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Under | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Over | 36c | 750$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 69c | 724.34$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…a67cbacked Under | 67c | 595.77$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 64c | 591.79$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.51 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 33c | 571.93$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.04 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 64c | 477.68$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.72 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…e26abacked Over | 38c | 473.82$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.48 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 40c | 388.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 63c | 360.71$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.54 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Over | 35c | 351.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 60c | 348.5$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 36c | 312$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 35c | 299.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 298.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 68c | 293.14$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 33c | 260.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.61 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked Under | 50c | 251.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 36c | 240.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 237.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.41 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 62c | 224.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 499 | 52.3%261 W · 238 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 64c | 212.46$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…aef6backed Over | 32c | 209.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 69c | 201.52$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe9…f34abacked Over | 36c | 185.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 28c | 176.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Over | 38c | 123.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 320 | 47.2%151 W · 169 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 39c | 115.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…3762backed Over | 37c | 104.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 37c | 104.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Over | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 26c | 92.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Over | 50c | 90.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 397 | 45.8%182 W · 215 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 31c | 79.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 62c | 76.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 63.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 38c | 63.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 60c | 61.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 66c | 60.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55b…b164backed Under | 62c | 60.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 74c | 58.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 39c | 48.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Over | 31c | 42.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 72c | 42.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Under | 66c | 39.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 65c | 36.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 61c | 35.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Over | 49c | 32.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Under | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 35c | 30.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 63c | 27.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 62c | 25.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…a87fbacked Under | 64c | 23.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 77c | 21.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 64c | 16.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.