CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42a54d1d63d545961e01b80e178da98019b6fb9d11d34bab7327b82e376f73f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof Spirit, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb496…1f45backed FaZe | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Spirit | 55c | 4,291$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.09 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed FaZe | 54c | 1,127$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.59 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Spirit | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 59c | 1,088$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.24 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Spirit | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.71 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed FaZe | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed FaZe | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.2 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FaZe | 41c | 740.48$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.88 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 45c | 544.31$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.94 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…26d3backed Spirit | 52c | 383.58$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked FaZe | 50c | 383.22$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.22 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Spirit | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Spirit | 55c | 202$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Spirit | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spirit | 60c | 169.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Spirit | 60c | 169.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed FaZe | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed FaZe | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Spirit | 55c | 94.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked FaZe | 44c | 91.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FaZe | 40c | 72.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed FaZe | 40c | 53.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed FaZe | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed FaZe | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked FaZe | 54c | 49.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed FaZe | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked FaZe | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Spirit | 55c | 34.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Spirit | 55c | 31.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked FaZe | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked FaZe | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked FaZe | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed FaZe | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Spirit | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.