CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44f07c3f59c88005cdec1578e20374844664a0e07afd71ddcd2462b52966cc03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof Spirit, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Spirit | 38c | 6,379$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed FaZe | 62c | 3,363$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.86 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FaZe | 62c | 2,113$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.78 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed FaZe | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked FaZe | 49c | 268.74$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Spirit | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed FaZe | 42c | 161.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Spirit | 45c | 119.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Spirit | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2b39backed FaZe | 76c | 62.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbe…f0f9backed Spirit | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Spirit | 51c | 48.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Spirit | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed FaZe | 62c | 28.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Spirit | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked Spirit | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.