CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bbadc7445141b2041b3627f950cba8b93e8c4d9c1a6d66fefc9b9196521e33b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 53c | 3,765$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.99 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FaZe | 47c | 3,161$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.11 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed FaZe | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.9 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Spirit | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.24 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed FaZe | 45c | 979.05$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.57 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FaZe | 40c | 978.3$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.4 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit | 53c | 872.97$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.44 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed FaZe | 45c | 862.94$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.32 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Spirit | 54c | 746.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.03 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked FaZe | 47c | 393.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spirit | 53c | 377.35$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked FaZe | 47c | 360$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Spirit | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FaZe | 46c | 217.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked FaZe | 46c | 171.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed FaZe | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed FaZe | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed FaZe | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked FaZe | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FaZe | 43c | 121.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed FaZe | 45c | 119.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Spirit | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed FaZe | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked Spirit | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Spirit | 79c | 52.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked FaZe | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked FaZe | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed FaZe | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked FaZe | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked FaZe | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed FaZe | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed FaZe | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked FaZe | 47c | 31.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc644…07bbbacked Spirit | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked FaZe | 49c | 30.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…c179backed FaZe | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…cb72backed FaZe | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.