CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaaaab2f93fd0cb8a5a37b9f72a3e0d4ebb1c3000a3e30551b73024a6e2d4fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Academyof Inner Circle Academy, Subtop De France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Inner Circle Academy | 66c | 1,450$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.54 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Inner Circle Academy | 61c | 1,428$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.16 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Subtop De France | 38c | 1,415$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Subtop De France | 34c | 699.82$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.94 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Subtop De France | 34c | 580$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Subtop De France | 31c | 564$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.03 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Inner Circle Academy | 68c | 420$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Subtop De France | 32c | 420$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Inner Circle Academy | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Inner Circle Academy | 69c | 396.33$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Inner Circle Academy | 70c | 194.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Subtop De France | 43c | 149$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6575…c2c7backed Inner Circle Academy | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Subtop De France | 31c | 103.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -11.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Inner Circle Academy | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55b…b164backed Subtop De France | 31c | 96.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Subtop De France | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Subtop De France | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Inner Circle Academy | 66c | 72.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Subtop De France | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Subtop De France | 26c | 58.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Inner Circle Academy | 68c | 53.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Subtop De France | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Inner Circle Academy | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Inner Circle Academy | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked Inner Circle Academy | 76c | 24.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Inner Circle Academy | 68c | 19.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group BInner Circle Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Subtop De France - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs Subtop De France - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Academy (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5)Inner Circle Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.