Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aad50e07a9865abecfa761773943bdf9871c313fed40148ee169be0f3c81af4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Leviatán Esports, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NRG | 21c | 8,437$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.15 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed NRG | 16c | 6,364$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Leviatán Esports | 68c | 3,598$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.85 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NRG | 39c | 3,411$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.69 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Leviatán Esports | 66c | 2,500$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 2,008$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.72 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatán Esports | 62c | 1,958$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…b819backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 1,689$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.75 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 1,591$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.87 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked NRG | 49c | 1,526$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…defebacked Leviatán Esports | 60c | 1,331$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.32 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed NRG | 38c | 1,103$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.05 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Leviatán Esports | 80c | 907.81$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Leviatán Esports | 74c | 816$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed NRG | 26c | 816$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.16 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed NRG | 10c | 513.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Leviatán Esports | 63c | 509.26$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.14 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed NRG | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG | 48c | 471.23$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.49 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed NRG | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NRG | 10c | 424.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG | 13c | 421$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed NRG | 15c | 389.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NRG | 11c | 378.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leviatán Esports | 51c | 375.52$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Leviatán Esports | 62c | 348.46$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Leviatán Esports | 62c | 320$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked NRG | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatán Esports | 54c | 260.02$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.12 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed Leviatán Esports | 62c | 231.72$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed NRG | 12c | 211.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed NRG | 15c | 206.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked NRG | 29c | 190.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NRG | 23c | 178.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 30c | 176$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NRG | 22c | 156.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked Leviatán Esports | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leviatán Esports | 53c | 153.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed NRG | 46c | 152.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Leviatán Esports | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG | 34c | 123.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed NRG | 16c | 103.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed NRG | 14c | 101.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked NRG | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Leviatán Esports | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Leviatán Esports | 61c | 91.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed NRG | 21c | 87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Leviatán Esports | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG | 23c | 81.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NRG | 28c | 81.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed Leviatán Esports | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed NRG | 17c | 80.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked Leviatán Esports | 61c | 73.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked NRG | 14c | 73.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NRG | 25c | 72.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed NRG | 39c | 70.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Leviatán Esports | 62c | 61.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked NRG | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG | 21c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked NRG | 38c | 51.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed NRG | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Leviatán Esports | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Leviatán Esports | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Leviatán Esports | 61c | 39.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Leviatán Esports | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Leviatán Esports | 61c | 35.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07e…9fc3backed NRG | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Leviatán Esports | 58c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Leviatán Esports | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…5e79backed Leviatán Esports | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Leviatán Esports | 65c | 22.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)NRG won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaNRG won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.