Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5ac6494a7c20b0bcdb2b763798efa8535f79501decc24be2dbe5782ba1be02e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Over | 51c | 3,211$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.44 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.36 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,850$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 51c | 1,109$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.24 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Under | 51c | 505.15$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.63 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 503.32$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.7 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 50c | 429.04$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.52 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 49c | 412.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 49c | 318.03$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.47 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 49c | 301.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 49c | 261.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 50c | 237.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Over | 49c | 204.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 51c | 174.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 101.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 50c | 99.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 52c | 68.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 52c | 40.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Under | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…cceebacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 79c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)NRG won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaNRG won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.