Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BESTIA vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c3cdacfa4096c4312642b07f849d2d4032647be9f7f7d59fe1a40c80355d9bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof BESTIA, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 9c | 1,568$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked BESTIA | 44c | 454.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed ShindeN | 44c | 319.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ShindeN | 55c | 236.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked BESTIA | 59c | 225.08$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN | 56c | 126.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ShindeN | 63c | 96.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked ShindeN | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed ShindeN | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA | 57c | 54.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked BESTIA | 34c | 29.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BESTIA vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: BESTIA vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular SeasonBESTIA won
- Valorant: BESTIA vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.