Tennis · resolved market
Braunschweig: Daniel Rincon vs Jan Choinski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee887a175ab1408551461e5b719a44e7c41ffc9db5ba58c199a14e3780e83e90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Choinskiof Daniel Rincon, Jan Choinski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Daniel Rincon | 13c | 25,609$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.47 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Daniel Rincon | 10c | 6,146$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Rincon | 35c | 5,917$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.13 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320d…f4ebbacked Daniel Rincon | 13c | 4,615$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jan Choinski | 65c | 3,283$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.99 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Rincon | 21c | 1,510$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.4 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 1,380$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.38 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7c89backed Daniel Rincon | 11c | 995.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Rincon | 34c | 882.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Jan Choinski | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 613.39$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.42 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…ed45backed Daniel Rincon | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Daniel Rincon | 21c | 559.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Daniel Rincon | 13c | 516.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Daniel Rincon | 32c | 486.3$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Jan Choinski | 70c | 425.86$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Daniel Rincon | 27c | 355.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Daniel Rincon | 32c | 307.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 246.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Daniel Rincon | 6c | 230$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…a04fbacked Jan Choinski | 67c | 198.61$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Jan Choinski | 72c | 197.55$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 166 | 67.5%112 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jan Choinski | 73c | 180.06$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Daniel Rincon | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Daniel Rincon | 32c | 159$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Jan Choinski | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Daniel Rincon | 13c | 148.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed Daniel Rincon | 30c | 130.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 124 | 23.4%29 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Daniel Rincon | 11c | 124.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Jan Choinski | 69c | 122.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Daniel Rincon | 32c | 115.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Daniel Rincon | 34c | 114.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jan Choinski | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Daniel Rincon | 33c | 80.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Jan Choinski | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 77.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Daniel Rincon | 26c | 67.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 60.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Daniel Rincon | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jan Choinski | 71c | 55.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 50.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Daniel Rincon | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Daniel Rincon | 26c | 44.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Daniel Rincon | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed Jan Choinski | 72c | 40.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Jan Choinski | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed Jan Choinski | 78c | 35.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Jan Choinski | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Daniel Rincon | 41c | 25.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Jan Choinski | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Jan Choinski | 73c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 17.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 82 | 82.9%68 W · 14 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Jan Choinski | 80c | 13.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braunschweig: Daniel Rincon vs Jan Choinskithis page
- Rincon vs. Choinski: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Rincon vs. Choinski: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Choinski (-1.5) vs Rincon (+1.5)Choinski won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.