Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f37dcabbb8678aabc9ea05acc43cb9e8f55f2eff9f01519e7e7e2f6117482a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 32c | 19,842$6,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,400.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 9,018$6,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,131.97 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 2,548$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.72 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 2,008$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.63 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 63c | 1,955$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.12 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,404$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Yes | 32c | 1,337$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 37c | 1,189$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.9 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 74c | 1,014$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.63 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed No | 37c | 870$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 799.82$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.87 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 792.33$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.45 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 79c | 707.93$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 31c | 633.72$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.63 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 34c | 529.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 38c | 518.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Yes | 34c | 457.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 410.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…cf3ebacked Yes | 33c | 386.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 6c | 305.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 69c | 300$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 63c | 229.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.09 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 31c | 216$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.84 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 203.62$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 68c | 193.51$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 31c | 169.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 147$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 66c | 142.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 30c | 138$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 129.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 68c | 124$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 75c | 123.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 67c | 110.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 67c | 100.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 39c | 100.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed No | 42c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 61c | 99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 27c | 96.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 31c | 93.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 48c | 91.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…0222backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b13…ade2backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 69c | 89.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…2ff1backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 35c | 86.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 67c | 85.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 34c | 72.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…841bbacked Yes | 60c | 66.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 67c | 62.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 58.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed No | 38c | 51.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed No | 59c | 51.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 39c | 50.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 68c | 50.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 52c | 49.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Yes | 33c | 44.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 68c | 34.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 71c | 32.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed No | 70c | 25.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 68c | 19.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x166d…56ddbacked No | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 70c | 15.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?No won
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.