MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c7085c1fbf900203352f78131f3cd605ad54a1639f773af1b521953ed0c428f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 51c | 35,381$18,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,044.15 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…e42fbacked Houston Astros | 2c | 26,071$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 22,859$11,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,947.37 | 1,436 | 49.3%708 W · 728 L | -6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Houston Astros | 0c | 22,036$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 17,901$10,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,911.57 | 980 | 45%441 W · 539 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 14,928$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,613.26 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 12,400$6,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,324 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 25c | 10,724$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.69 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 5,243$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.49 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.98 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 4,688$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.4 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 4,115$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.01 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Houston Astros | 14c | 3,819$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 3,514$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.21 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Houston Astros | 9c | 3,100$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 2,730$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.77 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 62c | 2,631$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.77 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 2,502$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.96 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Houston Astros | 0c | 2,444$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 74c | 2,089$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.68 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Houston Astros | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 66c | 1,680$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,581$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.96 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,471$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.92 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 20c | 1,456$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,383$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.33 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,157$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.95 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Houston Astros | 1c | 1,057$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 317 | 30.9%98 W · 219 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,019$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.03 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Houston Astros | 14c | 906.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 51c | 859.24$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.56 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 824.36$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.67 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 718 | 53.3%383 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 785.56$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 52c | 731$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.12 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 29c | 727.2$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.29 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 619.8$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.14 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 15c | 574.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 30c | 530.37$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Houston Astros | 52c | 526.19$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.62 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 27c | 522.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 714 | 44.4%317 W · 397 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 26c | 487.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 3,465 | 51.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L | +105.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 74c | 483.96$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.52 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 482.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.95 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 440$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros | 66c | 429$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.64 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Houston Astros | 54c | 397.95$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.56 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 343.88$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 929 | 46.1%428 W · 501 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 328.15$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.77 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Houston Astros | 52c | 310.29$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 628 | 46.2%290 W · 338 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Houston Astros | 46c | 301.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Houston Astros | 33c | 298.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 295.37$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…c400backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 288.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58f…130dbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Houston Astros | 54c | 244$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 792 | 49.2%390 W · 402 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Houston Astros | 5c | 243.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.86 | 961 | 55.2%530 W · 431 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 239.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 227.5$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros | 36c | 226.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Houston Astros | 22c | 220.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 218.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Houston Astros | 76c | 201$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 290 | 43.1%125 W · 165 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Houston Astros | 78c | 197.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 196$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 879 | 48%422 W · 457 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…760fbacked Houston Astros | 22c | 191$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…2dd8backed Houston Astros | 52c | 188.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 181.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 179.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 423 | 40.9%173 W · 250 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…701bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 162.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 159.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 159.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf589…2d92backed Houston Astros | 52c | 156.12$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…bc1bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 152.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 152$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 152$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Houston Astros | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 13.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 14.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.