Tennis · resolved market
Augsburg: Mika Brunold vs Liam Gavrielides
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e36a82c794d7da2f60c0e8f10c3606c2c50df8a6b8db66b8e7a3b25f63fa25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mika Brunoldof Mika Brunold, Liam Gavrielides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Liam Gavrielides | 1c | 29,967$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.66 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Liam Gavrielides | 3c | 17,468$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.43 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 9,852$7,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.41 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Liam Gavrielides | 28c | 9,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liam Gavrielides | 24c | 3,280$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Liam Gavrielides | 17c | 2,488$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Liam Gavrielides | 20c | 2,391$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.89 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 2,067$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.87 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…fdd9backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 1,642$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.27 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Liam Gavrielides | 15c | 1,060$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Mika Brunold | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Liam Gavrielides | 6c | 742.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Liam Gavrielides | 3c | 600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Liam Gavrielides | 31c | 599.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.82 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liam Gavrielides | 9c | 535.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Liam Gavrielides | 12c | 449.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mika Brunold | 78c | 423.49$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Liam Gavrielides | 27c | 375.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Liam Gavrielides | 11c | 370.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Liam Gavrielides | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Mika Brunold | 72c | 280.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…be44backed Liam Gavrielides | 7c | 261.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Mika Brunold | 79c | 252.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Liam Gavrielides | 28c | 210.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Liam Gavrielides | 28c | 199$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 160.23$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Liam Gavrielides | 10c | 160$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 88 | 10.2%9 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Liam Gavrielides | 31c | 159.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Liam Gavrielides | 9c | 148.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Mika Brunold | 73c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 112.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Mika Brunold | 68c | 111.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Liam Gavrielides | 18c | 110.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Liam Gavrielides | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Liam Gavrielides | 14c | 95.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Liam Gavrielides | 27c | 89.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Mika Brunold | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Liam Gavrielides | 30c | 79.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 76.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…b521backed Mika Brunold | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Liam Gavrielides | 30c | 71.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…1752backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Mika Brunold | 74c | 67.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Mika Brunold | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Mika Brunold | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Mika Brunold | 69c | 52.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Liam Gavrielides | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f0…810bbacked Mika Brunold | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…d7c8backed Mika Brunold | 72c | 42.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Mika Brunold | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7034…0e58backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 40.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…e9f6backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed Mika Brunold | 72c | 30.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Mika Brunold | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Mika Brunold | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Mika Brunold | 70c | 23.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Mika Brunold | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Mika Brunold | 67c | 20.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Mika Brunold | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Mika Brunold | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Mika Brunold | 70c | 19.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Mika Brunold | 67c | 17.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Mika Brunold | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.