Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Kamonwan Yodpetch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fc3bf6e396533f50d41ae6a4eb4b69031da8d8e5f7aef9d5204791b1ab9e48f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aruzhan Sagandikovaof Aruzhan Sagandikova, Kamonwan Yodpetch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 55c | 6,084$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.56 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 50c | 5,847$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.1 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 44c | 3,423$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.49 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 35c | 1,720$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.8 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 45c | 1,564$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 47c | 1,306$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.65 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 43c | 939.24$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.83 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 57c | 724.29$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.53 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 57c | 687.72$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.47 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 57c | 503.14$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 63c | 490.94$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…a77cbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 61c | 445.4$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 39c | 318.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…645fbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 24c | 278.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 42c | 274.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 7c | 224.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 30c | 217.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 78c | 198.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 168 | 73.8%124 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 60c | 162.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 45c | 162$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 34c | 153.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 60c | 142.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 43c | 114.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…949bbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 55c | 112.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 55c | 108.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 41c | 101.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 56c | 98.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 17c | 97.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 15c | 85.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 38c | 80.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…73fabacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 44c | 77.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…1a88backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 46c | 75.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 45c | 63.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 74c | 60.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…8611backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 59c | 53.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 44c | 53.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 57c | 51.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 45c | 43.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 40c | 41.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 56c | 32.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 45c | 32.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…91f4backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed Aruzhan Sagandikova | 76c | 30.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Aruzhan Sagandikova | 40c | 28.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.