Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Kali Supova vs Dusica Popovski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9085317970345c3b6f75780ba25e0899692f0ed4c6ea6fc9f88b2a6aef613029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kali Supovaof Kali Supova, Dusica Popovski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Dusica Popovski | 32c | 4,674$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.79 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Dusica Popovski | 27c | 4,401$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.22 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kali Supova | 67c | 3,278$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.85 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Kali Supova | 74c | 1,326$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.88 | 487 | 56.5%275 W · 212 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Kali Supova | 64c | 1,302$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.66 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…f07abacked Dusica Popovski | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dusica Popovski | 40c | 703.05$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.55 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Kali Supova | 56c | 418.64$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dusica Popovski | 30c | 350.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Kali Supova | 76c | 284.68$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Kali Supova | 58c | 212.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Kali Supova | 55c | 159.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Dusica Popovski | 11c | 152$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dusica Popovski | 16c | 121.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dusica Popovski | 44c | 116.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Kali Supova | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Kali Supova | 67c | 92.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Kali Supova | 57c | 88.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 370 | 65.1%241 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Dusica Popovski | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kali Supova | 62c | 72.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dusica Popovski | 44c | 59.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…cda6backed Dusica Popovski | 45c | 54.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…5d2bbacked Kali Supova | 53c | 42.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed Kali Supova | 73c | 40.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Dusica Popovski | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kali Supova | 68c | 35.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Kali Supova | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Kali Supova | 55c | 19.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8423…d86abacked Kali Supova | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Kali Supova vs Dusica Popovskithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Supova vs PopovskiSupova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.