Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Ymerali Ibraimi vs Duje Markovina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc17de8342a84f9129bf4ca69d456b90332a0b62633c827f05a23e74942c3e319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ymerali Ibraimiof Ymerali Ibraimi, Duje Markovina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Duje Markovina | 62c | 16,312$10,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,166.06 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 38c | 14,623$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,058.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 52c | 3,419$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.19 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duje Markovina | 41c | 1,746$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 39c | 754.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.5 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Duje Markovina | 41c | 387.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 52c | 232$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Duje Markovina | 44c | 218$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Duje Markovina | 62c | 165.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 44c | 139$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Duje Markovina | 73c | 132.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Duje Markovina | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 27c | 117.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Duje Markovina | 22c | 96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Duje Markovina | 40c | 92.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Duje Markovina | 73c | 90.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +74%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d47…912abacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Duje Markovina | 39c | 71.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Duje Markovina | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Duje Markovina | 59c | 63.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -25.1wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Duje Markovina | 50c | 61.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Ymerali Ibraimi | 38c | 61.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 31c | 58.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Duje Markovina | 45c | 57.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Duje Markovina | 41c | 53.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Duje Markovina | 61c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Duje Markovina | 41c | 51.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb92…c9bbbacked Duje Markovina | 70c | 48.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Duje Markovina | 70c | 44.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Duje Markovina | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Duje Markovina | 72c | 37.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ymerali Ibraimi | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Duje Markovina | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Duje Markovina | 77c | 25.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Duje Markovina | 41c | 25.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Duje Markovina | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Duje Markovina | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed Duje Markovina | 72c | 20.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…5821backed Duje Markovina | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.