Movies · resolved market
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc3bba7bcfaf75d8122669462be15a05465dd8d5e1cfb1827f03b85505ffdc2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 50c | 11,712$5,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,891.72 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 2c | 8,687$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.31 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 43c | 6,646$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,768.5 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 45c | 6,140$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.75 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 75c | 3,138$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.52 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 33c | 2,455$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.48 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 64c | 2,418$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a803backed Yes | 67c | 1,716$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.61 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 36c | 1,571$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.06 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 32c | 1,567$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.19 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 38c | 1,228$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.18 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 1,200$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.58 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 36c | 1,056$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.41 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 42c | 897.39$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.35 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 27c | 750.02$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.71 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 742.41$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.92 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 60c | 576.48$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 38c | 545.62$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed Yes | 54c | 545.02$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…62b0backed Yes | 79c | 507.1$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…5382backed No | 66c | 500$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 18c | 496.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.75 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 10c | 479.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Yes | 70c | 449.32$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 23c | 421.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.58 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2b1fbacked Yes | 63c | 390.36$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 369.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 13c | 368.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 12c | 363.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Yes | 70c | 359.34$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…e256backed No | 25c | 340.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 314.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.72 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…cc59backed No | 5c | 308.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 70c | 288.67$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yes | 55c | 274.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…4024backed No | 8c | 267.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed No | 32c | 249.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 27c | 240.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 25c | 234.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed No | 39c | 222.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 52c | 213.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…dc0cbacked Yes | 54c | 211.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked No | 9c | 190.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 18c | 190$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.05 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 45c | 189.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 75c | 185.8$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 42c | 182.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 31c | 172.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…ddb3backed Yes | 69c | 169.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 12c | 161.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 154$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 43c | 145.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 28c | 142.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed No | 29c | 117.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…7e6cbacked Yes | 16c | 114.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +509.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 23c | 111.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…3620backed Yes | 71c | 111.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed Yes | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…2ec2backed Yes | 27c | 106.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…f7abbacked Yes | 67c | 105.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 44c | 104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 68c | 86.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 58c | 85.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 32c | 80.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 45c | 63.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 57c | 60.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…56c4backed Yes | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 56.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…c0b2backed No | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 37c | 41.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed No | 75c | 39.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…ebcabacked Yes | 74c | 38.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 63c | 31.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed Yes | 73c | 30.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…4568backed Yes | 69c | 29.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 73c | 21.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1500…2105backed Yes | 71c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 75cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…8353backed No | 54c | 19.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?this page
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?No won
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?No won
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?No won
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.