Movies · resolved market
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2e4e910a79792d812ae7d0bc761aaa076f52029d8128f6ee4f967a460a4e495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 14c | 11,305$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.76 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 74c | 8,064$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.84 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 20c | 4,779$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.16 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 25c | 4,598$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.01 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,084$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a803backed Yes | 60c | 3,583$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.54 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 34c | 2,966$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 2,455$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.17 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…5382backed Yes | 47c | 2,285$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…aa1cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,177$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 68c | 2,163$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.98 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…9d34backed Yes | 60c | 1,589$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 1,571$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.97 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 11c | 1,506$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed No | 78c | 1,423$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.15 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 1,255$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.07 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 18c | 1,200$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…4820backed Yes | 2c | 1,156$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…42cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,046$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed Yes | 11c | 1,044$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 78c | 900.02$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.11 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 28c | 868$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.22 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 30c | 851.1$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.42 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb679…bd5ebacked Yes | 3c | 819.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 816.44$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.31 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 23c | 749.28$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.43 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 70c | 684.5$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.04 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…4024backed Yes | 7c | 633.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 39c | 584.23$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.71 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 549.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…e4e0backed No | 77c | 542.42$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 78c | 540.83$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 526.7$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 41c | 476.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Yes | 64c | 465.39$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 2c | 461.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed Yes | 27c | 429.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Yes | 27c | 421$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 413.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.53 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17d…7c1abacked Yes | 5c | 400.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…62b0backed Yes | 61c | 370.64$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…57aabacked Yes | 21c | 335$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed No | 76c | 335$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…e256backed Yes | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 11c | 292.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…52abbacked Yes | 65c | 270$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…c349backed Yes | 74c | 269.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…081bbacked Yes | 25c | 260.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 14c | 241$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 16c | 215.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 66c | 195.64$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…f7abbacked Yes | 53c | 189.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 56c | 189.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…2ec2backed Yes | 22c | 173.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 9c | 150.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a12…37cabacked Yes | 40c | 146.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 24c | 142$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8141…0b4ebacked No | 75c | 138$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 62c | 131.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…f62cbacked Yes | 15c | 131.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed Yes | 62c | 130$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 18c | 124.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 80c | 122.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 65c | 120.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 11c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…ea03backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 22c | 95.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…37c9backed Yes | 52c | 94.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 34c | 88.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 20c | 87.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 18c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…3ff1backed Yes | 15c | 80.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 72c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked No | 50c | 70.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 45c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 35c | 63.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 19c | 55.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed Yes | 35c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…ebcabacked No | 80c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…c0b2backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 42.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked No | 78c | 35.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…1e17backed No | 36c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…43b5backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?this page
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?No won
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?Yes won
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?No won
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.