Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4827b61325e6c2de1fe78dc0f6fe3a62f4d825a5449d3edf5bb82d10d3dcbc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 75c | 1,520$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.92 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 14c | 1,396$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…df8dbacked No | 72c | 855.46$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 14c | 614.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.65 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 73c | 588.07$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 9c | 572.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 393.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…c5cebacked Yes | 79c | 313.67$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 14c | 269.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.19 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 23c | 246.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…6b8cbacked Yes | 13c | 246$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.77 | 683 | 38.8%265 W · 418 L | +36.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…2c94backed Yes | 22c | 231.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 149 | 19.5%29 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 26c | 207.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 38c | 206.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed No | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 39c | 192.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…66b0backed Yes | 32c | 188.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 39c | 163.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 28c | 151.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 10c | 151.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 134.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 15c | 122.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked No | 51c | 120.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Yes | 35c | 119.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e12fbacked Yes | 27c | 119.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.27 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed Yes | 14c | 118.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 13c | 117.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 264 | 42.4%112 W · 152 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…001ebacked Yes | 22c | 114.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 38c | 113.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4e…dba5backed Yes | 28c | 106$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 101.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed Yes | 38c | 101.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 63c | 101.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 50c | 100.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…9135backed Yes | 29c | 100.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 179 | 40.8%73 W · 106 L | +29.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 29c | 92.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…b6ddbacked Yes | 56c | 88.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 15c | 85.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…d6f5backed Yes | 14c | 82.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 59c | 82.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 29c | 81.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 20c | 80.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…8c99backed No | 77c | 73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked Yes | 38c | 71.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 20c | 69.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 76c | 67.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 29c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 66.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bbf5backed Yes | 30c | 65.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 32c | 65.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 67c | 64.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…4357backed Yes | 22c | 64.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 76c | 63.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…b8efbacked No | 70c | 61.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 33c | 60.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 36c | 60.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 31c | 58.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 73c | 58.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 22c | 52.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…6155backed No | 80c | 51.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 67c | 45.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…7838backed Yes | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…bdedbacked No | 28c | 43.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 46c | 42.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…bb39backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 67c | 38.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…ee2fbacked Yes | 30c | 36.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +12.2wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Yes | 73c | 33.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 62c | 32.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 47c | 30.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 38c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 37c | 27.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…2529backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Yes | 61c | 24.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 22.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…7fd5backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 78c | 20.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 77c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 468 | 57.3%268 W · 200 L | -22.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 61c | 16.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…21b8backed Yes | 79c | 15.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 435 | 40.5%176 W · 259 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.