Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24e784d1672eed23a1de7ac9ef98147418dd6d0cc109769c0f42ec3d0c47b569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55ca…498fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,052$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 63c | 582.52$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6fd1backed Yes | 16c | 431.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 411.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 77c | 400.61$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 14c | 333.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 36c | 290.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 34c | 254.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed Yes | 36c | 221.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 141 | 13.5%19 W · 122 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…6b8cbacked Yes | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 683 | 38.8%265 W · 418 L | +36.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 9c | 181.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 28c | 166.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed No | 79c | 160.24$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…2fa1backed No | 65c | 151.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 26c | 140.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 31c | 133.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…001ebacked Yes | 38c | 132.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 21c | 121.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 35c | 121.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 71c | 116.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 26c | 115.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 77c | 112.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 13c | 108.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 13c | 108$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 106.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 80c | 106.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 23c | 103.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 13c | 101.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 19c | 97.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…e17fbacked Yes | 21c | 94.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…8eaabacked Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 122 | 24.6%30 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 79c | 91.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 23c | 90.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed No | 79c | 89.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 89.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 46c | 85.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 68c | 83.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Yes | 33c | 83.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…bb39backed Yes | 41c | 82.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 25c | 81.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…cbd8backed No | 65c | 75.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…9fb8backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 21c | 66.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 71c | 62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 38c | 60.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 23c | 60.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 264 | 42.4%112 W · 152 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 59.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…fb01backed No | 72c | 55.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 70c | 54.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…f87bbacked No | 74c | 53.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Yes | 22c | 45.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 70c | 45.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 44.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 70c | 42.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 31c | 41.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…3ba4backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…6278backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…3756backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 76c | 37.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 71c | 34.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed No | 75c | 32.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 151 | 76.8%116 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466c…f78dbacked Yes | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…dd11backed Yes | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 77c | 28.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 79c | 28.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 78c | 27.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 45c | 27.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 78c | 25.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 78c | 22.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 468 | 57.3%268 W · 200 L | -22.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…7fd5backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…b4bbbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…73eebacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…6595backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0737…e320backed No | 71c | 19.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 80c | 18.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked No | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 80c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…d2cebacked No | 73c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 75c | 15.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…55bfbacked No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 83 | 85.5%71 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 76c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…34e7backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.