Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1d43fd090054c87101c26e4c38768120687bd454dc1fa8877abe0c77116b4c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9314…db74backed No | 45c | 936$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.85 | 305 | 26.9%82 W · 223 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 57c | 580.78$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.92 | 609 | 36.8%224 W · 385 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 58c | 510.51$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.79 | 637 | 33.4%213 W · 424 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 46c | 394.83$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.49 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 43c | 365.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.43 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 55c | 328.96$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 54c | 229.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 629 | 60.3%379 W · 250 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…9e31backed No | 54c | 211.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 45c | 204$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.2 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 72c | 203.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 880 | 48%422 W · 458 L | +41.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 46c | 171.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 47c | 170.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 10,044 | 44.8%4,500 W · 5,544 L | +257.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 4,700 | 26.6%1,248 W · 3,452 L | +64.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 136.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 706 | 45.8%323 W · 383 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 56c | 133.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,156 | 31.1%359 W · 797 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 46c | 130.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 44c | 110.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…485fbacked Yes | 58c | 106.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 104.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 57c | 100.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 1,335 | 50.9%680 W · 655 L | -35.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…f4c7backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 782 | 55.4%433 W · 349 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 47c | 98.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 54c | 92.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 2,201 | 62.2%1,370 W · 831 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 54c | 91.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 64c | 89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 508 | 46.1%234 W · 274 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 74c | 80.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 221 | 60.6%134 W · 87 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked No | 42c | 77.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 446 | 44.6%199 W · 247 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 43c | 77.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 1,421 | 31.1%442 W · 979 L | -93.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 41c | 73.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 886 | 60.7%538 W · 348 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 56c | 70.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 494 | 49.2%243 W · 251 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 42c | 68.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 665 | 21.8%145 W · 520 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 55c | 65.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 56c | 64.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,080 | 38%410 W · 670 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 62.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 4,627 | 58.3%2,696 W · 1,931 L | -114.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 4,313 | 53.6%2,311 W · 2,002 L | +158.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 588 | 50.9%299 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 44c | 59.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 56c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…a808backed Yes | 46c | 55.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 55.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 2,189 | 59.7%1,306 W · 883 L | +26.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 57c | 55.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 260 | 38.5%100 W · 160 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 64c | 54.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 1,014 | 51.6%523 W · 491 L | +108.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 48c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 1,671 | 37.9%633 W · 1,038 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 57c | 52.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 835 | 42.4%354 W · 481 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed No | 64c | 50.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 46c | 49.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,178 | 40.6%478 W · 700 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 59c | 48.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 582 | 47.8%278 W · 304 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 47.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked No | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9eba…7ff0backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 45c | 45.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 241 | 58.5%141 W · 100 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…eeaabacked Yes | 59c | 44.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…ce84backed No | 44c | 44.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 42c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…1a13backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 50c | 41.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,314 | 54%709 W · 605 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 3,835 | 61.1%2,345 W · 1,490 L | -35.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a71…8dc2backed No | 42c | 36.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 46c | 35.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 54c | 35.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 44c | 33.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…182dbacked No | 42c | 32.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…2657backed Yes | 34c | 32.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 213 | 31.9%68 W · 145 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 53c | 31.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 43c | 31.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 265 | 57.7%153 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 58c | 31.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 2,274 | 56.7%1,289 W · 985 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 52c | 30.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 57c | 30.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 6,166 | 49.3%3,038 W · 3,128 L | -117.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 44c | 28.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 2,439 | 58%1,414 W · 1,025 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 5,193 | 68.3%3,546 W · 1,647 L | +70.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 59c | 27.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 45c | 26.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 49c | 26.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 5,489 | 56%3,075 W · 2,414 L | -123.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1,244 | 61.7%767 W · 477 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…3bf2backed Yes | 59c | 24.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…c211backed No | 73c | 23.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…895bbacked No | 70c | 21.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 941 | 62.3%586 W · 355 L | -24.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…bcccbacked Yes | 58c | 18.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 159 | 26.4%42 W · 117 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b27…ff88backed No | 72c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…6efcbacked No | 67c | 15.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 231 | 30.7%71 W · 160 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.